The reason for Peter Obi’s wild popularity in one half of the country is the precise reason for his revulsion in the other half.
APC’s Bola Ahmed Tinubu and PDP’s Atiku Abubakar will divvy up the Muslim vote more or less equally.
Peter Obi might also theoretically benefit from the financial constraining of Tinubu, but whether it will be enough to one-up Atiku remains to be seen.
Inflicting mass hurt on a large swath of people gives Buhari immense joy.
How these changing dynamics will impact the outcome of the election is still up in the air.
Nigerians have a longstanding habit of voting along ethno-religious lines, with clerics and emirs, …wielding a strong influence among illiterate and impoverished masses.